Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 28, 2010

Vote Early and Vote Often II

Before you vote on 21 August I suggest you read the following article penned by Mungo MacCallum in 2007 after John Howard was ousted:

The dubious legacy of John Winston Howard
Mungo MacCallum writes:
John Winston Howard was Australia’s second longest-serving Prime Minister, presiding almost unchallenged over the political landscape for well over a decade.

His time in government can not be dismissed lightly. However it can be dismissed heavily, so here goes.

Even on his political deathbed, Howard insisted that his government had delivered great economic reform. In fact in almost 12 years he implemented just three important changes, all of highly dubious merit.

The first was to move the responsibility for monetary policy from the elected government to the government-appointed Reserve Bank. This meant that he no longer had to take the blame for rises in interest rates, while of course continuing to demand the credit for falls. This early switch developed into a pattern: throughout his prime ministership, Howard steadfastly refused to accept responsibility for anything. Only on Saturday night, with nothing left to lose, was he prepared to own up.

Howard’s second legacy was the never-ever GST, a particularly nasty piece of regressive taxation whose only virtue is its universality; if a GST is absolutely comprehensive it is impossible to avoid. By compromising with Democrats to exempt some so-called essential items, Howard destroyed even this advantage. The GST remains an unfair and lazy way of collecting revenue, and has led to an immensely complicated series of benefits and hand outs to compensate for its ill effects. It is now entrenched as monument to Howard’s political dishonesty and economic incompetence.

The third innovation was, of course, WorkChoices. Unheralded and badly thought out, this grab-bag of ideological thuggery was thrust upon a startled electorate when an unexpected opportunity arose, and the results are now clear. Some of its worst features have already been quietly disposed of, and most of the rest will go as soon as the senate allows. What is left will indeed constitute reform of the industrial relations system; but it will not be the “reform” of which Howard boasted.

Howard’s other claim is that he leaves Australia a stronger, prouder and more prosperous country than he found it.

Stronger? Well, that it depends how you measure it. Howard huggers have always claimed that in international affairs, Australia now punches above its weight. What they actually mean is that Howard was duchessed by George W Bush, who found him a very amenable acolyte. The rest of the world saw us in that light. Stronger should mean more independent, and self-confident. The only bit of Australia in which those qualities are more obvious is the Australian cricket team.

Prouder, then? Certainly more arrogant, less tolerant – the pride that is counted among the seven deadly sins. But prouder of real and lasting achievement? What achievement?

And more prosperous – some people certainly are, much; and the country’s overall wealth has grown, although Howard has had very little to do with that. But we are also far, far deeper in debt, and less secure as a result. By an economist’s measure, our material wealth has grown; but if prosperity is seen as a wider indicator of quality of life, as genuine happiness, Howard failed us badly.

And if we are wealthier, at what cost? We are certainly not the people we were in 1996 when the government last changed.

For more than eleven years, John Howard led us on a voyage driven by greed and fear, into parochialism and paranoia, selfishness and racism, bigotry and corruption, and other dark places in the Australian psyche where we never should have gone. It was a mean and ugly trip, and it will take us all a long time to recover.

As he left the Wentworth hotel on Saturday night surrounded by his weeping and cheering entourage of orcs my main feeling was not of exultation or even euphoria, but of relief—the same sort of reaction I had to Cathy Freeman’s win at the Sydney Olympics, or at the moment, 17 years ago, when I stubbed out my last cigarette. The result was long-anticipated and entirely welcome, but how dreadful I, and many others, would have felt if it had not happened.

And on that note spare a thought for Labor’s patriarch, Gough Whitlam, who against
most expectations has survived to see another Labor government in Canberra. The final word should be his: a great quotation which he used in another context altogether, but which is utterly appropriate for November 24, 2007: E quindi uscimmo a reverder le stelle.

It is the last line of Dante’s Inferno, describing the poet’s return from hell, and it means: And thence we emerged, to see the stars again.

But if Howard was wrong about most things, he at least got Peter Costello right.
For eleven years the man sat there drooling, lusting after the leadership of his party, talking up a storm to his credulous colleagues, plotting with sycophants, sending out his dwarfish messenger Glenn Milne to relate improbable stories of his talent and support. He never actually had the guts to do anything about it, but by golly he let it be known that when the opportunity came, he would show us all.

And when his party was not only ready to offer him the prize, was indeed in real need of his services, Costello spat the dummy right out of the ground. Prime Minister, with all the trappings of office and all the resources of government, would be just fine; but leader of the opposition, the challenge Kevin Rudd took on at precisely Costello’s age before sweeping to victory in less than a year, looked just a little too much like hard work. Poor Petey-pie, too old at fifty, too lazy at any time.

When his colleagues are considering a farewell gift for him, they should pass over the gold watch and all chip in for an iron lung. This would at least remove any lingering doubt over whether Peter Costello would work in one.


I think what Howard stood for is aligned to what the Liberal Party want back.

Monday, July 26, 2010

Vote Early and Vote Often

Now i hope you have all enrolled to vote? . . . Good.

Now please make sure your vote counts on the 21st of August. Because frankly my vote won't. Well my house of Reps vote won't count for much.

Why not? I hear you ask.. Well this is why:

Very Safe Labor 26.0%


Yep. It is the safest Labor seat in Australia. So when you look at what the good people of Eden-Monaro get in the sitting governement's bid to retain power it is amaznig compared to my little seat.

So unless about 10,000 of my neighbours agree to change the way they vote not much will change. Labor does not spend much money or effort there because they have it in the bag and the Liberals won't spend any because they wll never win the seat. All that can happen is if the seat goes a similar way as the seat of Melbourne and the Greens can shake them up a little.

Only time will tell.

Wednesday, March 3, 2010

"I wasn't about to become a desert version of Harold Holt"

This is what Tony Abbott said after being stuck in the bush in NT for 6 hours.

Sorry Tony for a starter you are not the Prime Minister. But I wonder what sort of memorial would be erected for Tony if he did go missing? Could it rival the Harold Holt memorial pool??

The Tony Abbott memorial sandpit?
The Tony Abbott memorial dog toilet?
The Tony Abbott memorial women's health clinic?

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Missed It By That Much




Opposition Leader Tony Abbott in near miss with truck

OPPOSITION leader Tony Abbott has narrowly escaped a collision with a truck as he arrived to inspect part of the Princes Hwy west of Geelong this morning.
As Mr Abbott's car slowed to turn into a property beside the highway in Winchelsea, a van pulled out from behind his vehicle into the path of a truck, the Geelong Advertiser reports.

The truck driver narrowly managed to stop his vehicle jack-knifing in the dirt beside the road as stunned journalists and local politicians watched on.

The truck was about five metres away from colliding with the van and Abbott's car.

The truck wobbled on its wheels and at one stage came close to toppling.

Mr Abbott was shaken by the near miss when talking to the press minutes later.

"We just saw a moment ago how perilous this road can be,'' he said.

"You can never entirely eliminate danger on the roads but the better the roads are, the less hazard there is to traffic.

Mr Abbott was visiting Winchelsea to inspect the Princes Highway following calls over the years to have the notorious stretch of road duplicated between Geelong and Winchelsea.

However, despite his first hand experience, Mr Abbott stopped short of pledging any funding to the duplication at this stage.


I like the last sentence in bold above. What the hell was he doing there anyway?

UPDATE: An interview with the driver:

SABRA LANE: Twenty-nine-year-old Luke McCrae was behind the wheel of the truck. He was on his regular Melbourne to Warrnambool runs. He’s been driving trucks for about eight years.

LUKE MCCRAE: I was travelling down the road behind a mini bus. The mini bus slammed on the brakes, car sitting in the middle of the road. The mini bus tried to go around the car and ’cause I was in the truck behind with more weight, I had to try and go round you guys.

SABRA LANE: You seem to be pretty lucky to keep the truck upright.

LUKE MCCRAE: Very lucky.

SABRA LANE: Were you shaken up? I would imagine there was a fair amount of adrenaline running around your body.

LUKE MCCRAE: I didn’t realise how bad it was until I looked at it on the computer.

SABRA LANE: You’ve looked at the footage now?

LUKE MCCRAE: Yes.

SABRA LANE: What did you think when you looked at those pictures?

LUKE MCCRAE: Just lucky, that nobody got hurt.

SABRA LANE: When did you realise Tony Abbott was in that car?

LUKE MCCRAE: Oh, about 10 minutes ago.

SABRA LANE: Tony Abbott says that it’s a dangerous road, is it a dangerous road?

LUKE MCCRAE: Yes, it a dangerous road.

SABRA LANE: Were you disappointed that the COMCAR had pulled up where it had?

LUKE MCCRAE: Yes.

SABRA LANE: Is that particular road a dangerous stretch or was just dangerous because the COMCAR had pulled up where it had?

LUKE MCCRAE: Oh, it’s just because where the car had pulled up where it had.



The next question should have been:

If you knew it was Tony Abbott in the car would you have swerved?

Monday, January 18, 2010

Kosky Quits

Public Transport Minister Lynne Kosky resigns from parliament for family health reasons.

It will be interesting to see who Brumby installs in the no win Public Transport folio.

UPDATE: Tim Pallas has the job. I do not envy him.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

The Magic Dam Returns

Not sure if you noticed but September had above average rainfall. It is only the 3rd above average month of rainfall in Melbourne over the last 3 years. I hope we get a lot more.

But in my view more importantly we have not had above average annual rainfall in Melbourne for 12 years:



So what happens when there is a bit of rain around.....



Yes you guessed it. Bolt uses his tried (or is that tired?) argument regarding the construction of a dam to capture water in lieu of any other options. It is a simple argument he uses, if it rains build a dam to get that water, if it doesnt we should be building one in case it does.

Ted Baillieu (you know the state oppostion leader) is in on the news today and is trying to make some mileage out of the situation. Remember Ted? thats right he is the guy who suggested we should build a dam on the Marybinong River in 2006.

Now I have done many posts about Bolt's incorrect use of estimates on the Mitchell River and I have posted here and on other blogs about his wrong use of statistics and the out dated cost estimates. There is no need to go over old ground there again. What I wanted to comment on was the common use of the Magic Dam by those opposed to anything being done.

So what is the Magic Dam?

As stated earlier the magic dam is used mainly by those in oppositon to claim any current government policy is wrong. The weather climate in Victoria and especially the rainfall is becoming more variable and as a result the run off into rivers is not as consistent. So those in opposition have to rely on the Magic Dam to chase any flood flows wherever they may occur.

Where has the Magic Dam been proposed?

In today's column by Andrew Bolt he rattles off the following rivers:
  • Yarra
  • Upper Yarra
  • Macalister
  • Mitchell

as locations where the Magic Dam could be built.

Funny. So based on Bolt logic (please do not try this at home!) we should build a handful of new dams in any number of different locations depending on what the forecast says, a few pumpstations some pipes and then rely on rainfall that has been below average for the last 12 years.

Sounds to me like Andrew has been eating too much of the magic pudding to me.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Benefits of water project 'inflated'

Interesting news regarding the food bowl modernisation project. The results of this 'fudging has direct impacts on the the North-South pipeline and water security for Melbourne.

From what is reported it looks like they decided more water was going into the system before the works which meant that it was operating at a higher efficiency afterwards 'creating' more savings.

Measuring flows into systems and out of systems is quite difficult but it appears strange that the pilot study was not more conservative in the estimates. Questions should be asked why this is the case.

Was it pressure from GMW to modernise ageing assets?
Was it private entities wanting a chunk of work?
Was it government pressure to make the N-S pipeline more viable?

Benefits of water project 'inflated'
Melissa Fyfe April 12, 2009

A SENATE inquiry will hear damning evidence this week that casts further doubt on water savings from the $2 billion Food Bowl Modernisation Project, a key part of the Brumby Government's water plan.

A Government insider has provided the Plug the Pipe campaign with documents that appear to show that data in a pilot project was changed to inflate water savings.

The irrigation technology tested in the pilot, called Total Channel Control, is now at the heart of the Government's food bowl project.

Ken Pattison, a Plug the Pipe member and former director of Goulburn-Murray Water, will present the documents, also obtained by The Sunday Age, to the Senate inquiry into the Water Amendment Bill 2008 when it sits in Shepparton on Tuesday.

Mr Pattison told The Sunday Age that the evidence would show the pilot project set a pattern of overestimating water savings from irrigation upgrades. "We believe we are going to put a crack in the wall," he said.

Mr Pattison will present the evidence on behalf of the Government insider, who has decided not to appear. One of the documents, by the pilot project's consultants, URS, says the project working group — which included the Department of Sustainability, Goulburn-Murray Water and Rubicon Systems Australia, the makers of Total Channel Control — met in Melbourne in April 2004 and "assumptions" about losses and flows were agreed to.

But in an economic evaluation of the pilot, it appears the average yearly flows into the area have been bumped up by more than 4000 million litres to 17,400 million litres.

Other project documents show the historic average annual flow to be about 13,100 million litres. The effect of this change was to make the percentage of water saved look better than it was, the Government insider believes.

Another document, prepared by project manager Clive Luscombe, describes how it was expected that the technology would boost the efficiency of the channels to 93 per cent, but in fact the pilot achieved only 79 per cent.

"Clearly this result was not to be expected based on the pre-pilot information," the report says.

Mr Luscombe puts the problem down to "pre-pilot conditions" and the difficulty in manually measuring the outfall, or excess water, coming from irrigation districts.

A spokesman for the State Government said it would not comment on evidence it was yet to hear.

The Government has claimed the food bowl project will deliver up to 75 billion litres of water to Melbourne each year after 2010.

Rubicon Systems Australia's contract to supply its irrigation modernisation equipment to the project is believed to be worth several hundred million dollars.

Plug the Pipe and the Government insider believe the alteration of the data in the pilot project led to an overestimation of water savings that has never been properly audited.

The Government has been under pressure to prove the project will deliver the water savings to make the $750 million north-south pipeline worthwhile.

Last year the Auditor-General criticised the Government for the "inadequate rigour applied to estimate costs, benefits and risks of some of the key component projects" of its water plan and called on it to "publish the detailed analysis underpinning the estimates of water savings and costs for the Food Bowl Modernisation Project".

The Government has refused to release its business case under freedom-of-information laws.

Thursday, February 5, 2009

How is THAT for public opinion?

Facebook fury over Turnbull 'no' to cash splash
Larissa Ham
February 5, 2009 - 4:33PM

Australians planning to spend Prime Minister Kevin Rudd's promised $950 bonus on holidays, new drum kits, Wii games, tattoos and weekend-long benders have flooded into a new Facebook group.

The group 'Come on Turnbull, don't take away my $950 bucks!,' was formed after Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull signalled his intention to block the $42 billion economic stimulus package announced this week.

Mr Turnbull acknowledged the Coalition's stance wouldn't be popular but that it was "the right decision".

He said he was standing up for "fiscal discipline" and staggering levels of debt should not be imposed on future generations.

Almost 9000 people are now members of the Facebook group.

Creator Matt Dixon said the group had attracted more than 5000 members in its first 24 hours, and aimed to hit the 12,000 mark by 10pm tonight.

"Join this group in solidarity against a man who has probably got enough money to fund his own stimulus package," Mr Dixon says on the group's Facebook page.

More than 70 members on the site have shared how they would spend the one-off bonus, which if passed, would be available to millions of Australians including eligible families, single workers, students, drought-affected farmers and others earning $100,000 or less.

Low and middle-income families would also receive a $950 back-to-school bonus per child, and those outside the workforce who return to study would get a $950 training and learning bonus.
While many Facebook members have already allocated the cash to holidays, handbag shopping or rent, others said they would spend it to pay off their debts.

"I was planning to give it to my ex-husband, because I owe him money. I am sure he will stimulate the economy on my behalf," wrote Venie.

"Paying off some of the credit card bill, which has already stimulated the economy," wrote Karen.

Some said they would spend the $950 on furniture, gifts or household items, while Nathan, of Perth, is taking a different approach.

"$600 for marijuana...the rest will probably be turned into snacks," he wrote.

The economic stimulus package passed the House of Representatives this morning, but must still get through the Senate.

A Senate inquiry into the package will begin today and an upper house vote is not likely until next week.

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Herald Sun vs Kosky and Connex

You know your newspaper is getting pretty low when:

YOU know you've lost popular support when the city's main newspaper runs a
huge unflattering picture of you with your eyes closed.

On reading the rest of Susie O'Brien's opinion piece she says a few truths. Mainly regarding the stupidly complex manner in which our transport system is managed.

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Why Melbourne Water has lost the PR war on the North South Pipeline

It certainly has been in the media lately and it is a controversial project. The north-south pipeline has created protests, arrests and now court action.

The argument that has been placed by the protestors is that the project is taking water away from farmers north of the divide. This is not entirely true. The project can only take water once the irrigation modernisation project around Shepparton generates savings.

Part of the water bill from all Melbourne residents and businesses is funding the improvement of 100 year old irrigation systems so that they run more efficiently. in return melbourne gets 1/3 of the water saved. The remainder is split between the farmers and the environment.

This of course is lost on protestors and farmers along the route of the pipeline. Melbourne Water (as with other authorities) does have the right to enter land to conduct their works. It is in the water act.

It is also a requirement that Melbourne Water adequately reinstate the farmers land and compensate them accordingly. I can understand people not wanting all their paddocks ripped up for a pipe. I do bet that all of them have other services already buried such as gas, town water and telstra somewhere on their land.

Melbourne Water and the pipeline alliance have lacked the ability to show the positive side of the project. the farmers federation approve of it subject to extra water for the farmers.. and why not?

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Throw a Shoe at Bush

Yes I know you probably have got the link via email. But in case you haven't:

http://www.sockandawe.com/

Is one of the online viral games on how to do what a lot of the western world and what most of the arab world have wanted to do for a while now.

Some things to note:

At the time of this being published there had been over 21 MILLION shoe hits.

and the top 5 countries who had visited the site:

1. United States
2. France
3. Australia
4. United Arab Emirates
5. Saudi Arabia

Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Cazaly Results

Well the count is in:

Cazaly Ward (3 vacancies)
Elected: KATSIS, Nick (1st elected)
Elected: MORGAN, Ben (2nd elected)
Elected: FONTANA, Vince (3rd elected)
Enrolment: 33208
Formal Votes: 22852
Informal Votes: 1580 (6.47% of the total votes)
Voter Turnout: 24432 (73.57%
of the total enrolment)
Quota: 5714

Candidate First preference votes
NOVATSIS, George 1294
PETROVIC, Steven 588
MORGAN, Ben 1852
POULTON, Trevor 584
FONTANA, Vince 2812
LEVERIDGE, Liz 1471
KATSIS, Nick 2550
EL-LEISSY, Mohammed 2732
GOGAS, George 448
McCULLOCH, Deanne 1220
SEYMOUR, Terrie 666
GOVAN, Jayne 1862
KARAM, Antoine 424
CUTRI, Joe 1370
KIRIAKIDIS, Louis 895
DONOHUE, Alison 2084

Interesting to note that the Greens candidate El-Leissy was second in first preference votes (12% of formal votes) but did not quite make it. The Labor voting blocks obviously had enough preferences.

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Local Elections - Stooges

Well Derr.

The Age today has an article about the use of 'Stooges' in local elections to help drag preferences to particular candidates.

In part it states:

This might explain why the man who authorised Samantha Baseggio's election campaign material was asking yesterday: "Samantha who? I have no idea who she is."

Ms Baseggio's flyer arrived in the letterboxes of Moreland residents
this week, with those of leading Labor candidate Lambros Tapinos printed in the
same shade of blue.

On one side of the flyer, Ms Baseggio declares Moreland has been dominated by political parties for way too long and promises a fresh approach. On the other she directs her preferences to Labor, straight to Mr Tapinos. Ms Baseggio did not return calls from The Age.



I know it is a good thing to allow anyone to run for local office and this should be encouraged to allow people with concerns to get a voice. My issue is that it is too often the candidates from major parties (and in this case Labor) who use this tactic hoping that the extra few votes the stooge will generate will get them over the line. Also using Stooges who are supposedly independant is wrong. It decieves voters who are generally basing their votes on how to vote junk mail and one paragraph of information contained in the ballot paperwork.

Sad really. Especially when it is the local community who misses out on:

  1. A voice to represent them and not a political party;
  2. Independant Councils and Mayors whose role is to represent the community and not just look for a seat in state politics;
  3. Making their vote count the way they intended it to be.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Local Elections - Cazaly Style

Ok, I know, I know. I live in what has to be one of the safest Labor seats in State and Federal Politics. In State elections there needs to be a swing of over 25% in 2010.

So is it any suprise that 9 out of the 16 candidates up for election in the Cazaly Ward of the City of Darebin are ALP members.

What gets me annoyed is that so many of the council members do not stand up for the local community strong enough to lobby the state and federal members to get funding to the community. More often than not they are aligned so closely with the State branch they never want to rock the boat. Our most recent past mayor, Marlene Kairouz, walked straight into the seat of Kororoit as a reward, even though she did not know the issues in the seat.

Well why would the State or Federal Government (either Labor or Liberal) put funding into a seat that they know be Labor for a long time?

So what does this mean? Well the good people of Northern Melbourne miss out on funding on transport services (I will post about the joys of the 112 tram route and Epping rail line one day) and funding for other community grants.